
Should I start Kaleb Johnson or Treyton Welch this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Kaleb Johnson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Kaleb Johnson: 1.5 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.2FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Treyton Welch
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
Sun 9:30 AM ET
Kaleb Johnson
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 carries per game.
Treyton Welch
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Kaleb Johnson
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Kaleb Johnson faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points.
Treyton Welch
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Treyton Welch faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
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