
Should I start Jordan Addison or Zach Charbonnet this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Zach Charbonnet
+0.9 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Zach Charbonnet over Jordan Addison for Week 9 Standard: 8.2 projected points versus 7.3.
- Jordan Addison: 5.5 FP recent scoring average; 7.5% matchup lift against BUF.
- Zach Charbonnet: 2.9 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Jordan Addison
WR ยท MINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet faces ARI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 2.9 fantasy points.
Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison faces BUF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 5.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Jordan Addison and Zach Charbonnet?
Zach Charbonnet holds a 0.9 FP projected edge over Jordan Addison. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Zach Charbonnet higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison has a 7.3 FP forecast in Standard against BUF. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.5 FP, putting this forecast 1.8 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 7.5%; it is already included in the projection.
Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet has a 8.2 FP forecast in Standard against ARI. His recorded recent scoring average is 2.9 FP, putting this forecast 5.3 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Jordan Addison | Zach Charbonnet | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 7.4 FP | 9.9 FP | Zach Charbonnet +2.5 |
| Sleeper | 5.9 FP | 9.0 FP | Zach Charbonnet +3.1 |
| FantasyPros | 6.7 FP | 9.3 FP | Zach Charbonnet +2.6 |
| Boosted Trees | 7.2 FP | 14.2 FP | Zach Charbonnet +7.0 |
Before the first kickoff. Jordan Addison: Mon 8:15 PM ET. Zach Charbonnet: Sun 4:25 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Standard
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 21.322.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.118.8Expected FP - 3
Jonathan TaylorRB ยท IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 16.518.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Zach Charbonnet8.2projected FP
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Breece Hall8.1projected FP
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J.K. Dobbins8.0projected FP
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Blake Corum8.3projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs22.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FP
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Christian McCaffrey17.9projected FP
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Bijan Robinson16.5projected FP
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Javonte Williams16.0projected FP
Javonte Williams16.0projected FP
James Cook III14.9projected FP
Jordan Addison
Harold Fannin Jr.