
Should I start Jonnu Smith or Will Kacmarek this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jonnu Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
Jonnu Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus -5%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

1.4FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Will Kacmarek
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Jonnu Smith
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Will Kacmarek
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.7 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carlo1.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jonnu Smith
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.1
Sleeper1.4
FantasyProsโ
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Will Kacmarek
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.1
Sleeper0.8
FantasyProsโ
Will Kacmarek faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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