RESEARCH PICK
Jonnu Smith
TE · GBStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Jonnu Smith or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jonnu Smith
Week 7 · Standard
Jonnu Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · Standard
at DETTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Jonnu Smith
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.1
Sleeper1.4
FantasyPros—
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyPros—
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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