THE ALTERNATIVE
Jaylen Waddle
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ7.9FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Jaylen Waddle or Tyler Allgeier this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tyler Allgeier
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Tyler Allgeier: 5.8 versus 4.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Tyler Allgeier
RB ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Jaylen Waddle
FF7.9 FP
Boosted Trees6.4 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.9 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.8 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Tyler Allgeier
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees7.6 FP
Workload7.9 FP
Monte Carlo7.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Jaylen Waddle
Fortified7.9
ESPN6.7
Sleeper8.4
FantasyProsโ
Jaylen Waddle faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Tyler Allgeier
Fortified8.3
ESPN8.9
Sleeper8.4
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Allgeier faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.8 fantasy points.
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