
Should I start Jalen Royals or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jalen Royals
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Jalen Royals: 1.2 versus 0.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

3.3FF projected
โ -1.2 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Marvin Mims Jr.
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ2.9FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
Jalen Royals
FF3.3 FP
Boosted Trees4.3 FP
Workload3.5 FP
Monte Carlo3.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF2.9 FP
Boosted Trees3.7 FP
Workload3.2 FP
Monte Carlo3.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jalen Royals
Fortified3.3
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.8
FantasyProsโ
Jalen Royals faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified2.9
ESPN3.4
Sleeper3.1
FantasyProsโ
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
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