Should I start Jake Bates or Wil Lutz this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Jake Bates

+1.0 projected edge · Standard

Start Jake Bates over Wil Lutz for Week 7 Standard: 8.8 projected points versus 7.8.

Jake Bates: 14.0 FP recent scoring average; 10% matchup reduction against GB.
Wil Lutz: 8.3 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup reduction against ARI.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 2:17 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Jake Bates

K · DETStats & schedule

8.8FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs GB

Sun 4:25 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Wil Lutz

K · DENStats & schedule

7.8FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

at ARI

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Why this pick?

Jake Bates

Fortified8.8

ESPN9.0

Sleeper8.5

FantasyPros—

Jake Bates faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.

Wil Lutz

Fortified7.8

ESPN8.5

Sleeper7.6

FantasyPros—

Wil Lutz faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Jake Bates projects for 8.8 points in standard scoring, 1.0 more than Wil Lutz. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 2:17 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.