
Should I start Isaiah Likely or Tony Pollard this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tony Pollard
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Tony Pollard after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

9.9FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Tony Pollard
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบ10.3FF projected
โ -1.5 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Isaiah Likely
FF9.9 FP
Boosted Trees9.6 FP
Workload8.4 FP
Monte Carlo8.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 15.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 15.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 9.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 12.0 targets per game.
Tony Pollard
FF10.3 FP
Boosted Trees10.1 FP
Workload11.4 FP
Monte Carlo11.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.9 FP.
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.0 targets and 20.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 16.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Isaiah Likely
Fortified9.9
ESPN8.7
Sleeper7.3
FantasyProsโ
Isaiah Likely faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 15.3 fantasy points.
Tony Pollard
Fortified10.3
ESPN11.8
Sleeper9.9
FantasyProsโ
Tony Pollard faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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