Should I start Isaiah Likely or Tyler Warren this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Isaiah Likely

+1.4 projected edge · Standard

Start Isaiah Likely over Tyler Warren for Week 9 Standard: 8.0 projected points versus 6.6.

Isaiah Likely: 9.6 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup reduction against PHI.
Tyler Warren: 1.8 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:54 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYGStats & schedule

8.0FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

at PHI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Warren

TE · INDStats & schedule

6.6FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

vs DAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Isaiah Likely

Fortified8.0

ESPN8.2

Sleeper7.5

FantasyPros7.9

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET9.8

Isaiah Likely faces PHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.

Tyler Warren

Fortified6.6

ESPN6.9

Sleeper7.5

FantasyPros7.7

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET7.1

Tyler Warren faces DAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points.

Isaiah Likely projects for 8.0 points in standard scoring, 1.4 more than Tyler Warren. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:54 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position · WEEK 9 · Standard

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.311.8

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 11.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 11.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 10.6
11.6Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 11.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.7Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 10.0
11.4Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 8.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 8.2
8.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.