THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE · LVStats & schedule ›1.0FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 · Standard
Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Ian Thomas. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyPros—
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyPros—
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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