
Should I start Ian Thomas or Jonathan Mingo this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jonathan Mingo
Week 7 ยท Standard
Jonathan Mingo averaged 2.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Ian Thomas. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Jonathan Mingo receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Jonathan Mingo
WR ยท DALStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Jonathan Mingo
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.8 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Jonathan Mingo
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.6
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Jonathan Mingo faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
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