THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Johnny Mundt this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Johnny Mundt
Week 7 ยท Standard
Johnny Mundt receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Johnny Mundt
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Johnny Mundt
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Johnny Mundt
Fortified0.9
ESPN0.9
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Johnny Mundt faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.1 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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