
Should I start George Pickens or Sam LaPorta this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Sam LaPorta
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Sam LaPorta: 14.6 versus 11.3 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

9.1FF projected
โ +0.9 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Sam LaPorta
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบ9.5FF projected
โ +1.8 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
George Pickens
FF9.1 FP
Boosted Trees7.1 FP
Workload8.3 FP
Monte Carlo8.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.3 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 7.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Sam LaPorta
FF9.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.6 FP
Workload8.0 FP
Monte Carlo7.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 14.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 14.6 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
George Pickens
Fortified9.1
ESPN8.2
Sleeper7.4
FantasyProsโ
George Pickens faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Sam LaPorta
Fortified9.5
ESPN7.7
Sleeper8.3
FantasyProsโ
Sam LaPorta faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
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