RESEARCH PICK
Geno Smith
QB ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ15.3FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Geno Smith or Tanner McKee this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Geno Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Geno Smith after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Tanner McKee
QB ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ14.8FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Geno Smith
FF15.3 FP
Boosted Trees17.1 FP
Workload15.2 FP
Monte Carlo15.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 25.0 pass attempts per game.
Tanner McKee
FF14.8 FP
Boosted Trees15.9 FP
Workload13.6 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.6 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 1 recorded games: 45.0 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Geno Smith
Fortified15.3
ESPN16.0
Sleeper15.8
FantasyProsโ
Geno Smith faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points.
Tanner McKee
Fortified14.8
ESPN14.7
Sleeper13.8
FantasyProsโ
Tanner McKee faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
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