RESEARCH PICK
Gavin Bartholomew
TE ยท MINStats & schedule โบ0.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Gavin Bartholomew or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Gavin Bartholomew
Week 7 ยท Standard
Gavin Bartholomew averaged 2.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Ian Thomas. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Gavin Bartholomew receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs INDTHE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Gavin Bartholomew
FF0.7 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Gavin Bartholomew
Fortified0.7
ESPN0.8
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Gavin Bartholomew faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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