THE ALTERNATIVE
Garrett Wilson
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ9.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Trey McBride this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Trey McBride
Week 7 ยท Standard
Trey McBride averaged 10.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 7.0 for Garrett Wilson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Trey McBride receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Trey McBride
TE ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ9.0FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
FF9.4 FP
Boosted Trees9.1 FP
Workload7.1 FP
Monte Carlo7.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.8 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Trey McBride
FF9.0 FP
Boosted Trees11.6 FP
Workload7.5 FP
Monte Carlo7.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 7.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 9.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Garrett Wilson
Fortified9.4
ESPN9.4
Sleeper10.9
FantasyProsโ
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Trey McBride
Fortified9.0
ESPN8.8
Sleeper8.5
FantasyProsโ
Trey McBride faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.0 fantasy points.
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