
Should I start Emanuel Wilson or Mark Andrews this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Mark Andrews
Week 9 ยท Standard
Mark Andrews has the higher current FF forecast: 3.5 FP versus 3.0 FP. The 0.5-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Mark Andrews
TE ยท BALStats & schedule โบEmanuel Wilson
Emanuel Wilson faces ARI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.6 fantasy points.
Mark Andrews
Mark Andrews faces JAC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Emanuel Wilson and Mark Andrews?
Emanuel Wilson and Mark Andrews are separated by 0.5 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Mark Andrews higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Emanuel Wilson
Emanuel Wilson has a 3.0 FP forecast in Standard against ARI. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.6 FP, putting this forecast 4.6 points below that average.
Mark Andrews
Mark Andrews has a 3.5 FP forecast in Standard against JAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 1.4 FP, putting this forecast 2.1 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Emanuel Wilson | Mark Andrews | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 0.7 FP | 3.8 FP | Mark Andrews +3.1 |
| FantasyPros | 1.7 FP | 3.7 FP | Mark Andrews +2.1 |
| Boosted Trees | -2.5 FP | 5.7 FP | Mark Andrews +8.2 |
Before the first kickoff. Emanuel Wilson: Sun 4:25 PM ET. Mark Andrews: Thu 8:15 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Standard
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 21.322.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.118.8Expected FP - 3
Jonathan TaylorRB ยท IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 16.518.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Emanuel Wilson