
Should I start Elijah Sarratt or Lew Nichols this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Elijah Sarratt
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Elijah Sarratt: 1.3 versus 0.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Lew Nichols
RB ยท PITStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
Sun 9:30 AM ET
Elijah Sarratt
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload0.4 FP
Monte Carlo0.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Lew Nichols
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Sarratt
Fortified0.1
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Sarratt faces CIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.3 fantasy points.
Lew Nichols
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Lew Nichols faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
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