THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Moore
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ2.4FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Moore or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท Standard
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Elijah Moore. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 3.5 versus 0.1 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Noah Gray
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ2.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Elijah Moore
FF2.4 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload1.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.1 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.3 FP
Workload3.4 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Moore
Fortified2.4
ESPN2.9
Sleeper2.7
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Moore faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Noah Gray
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.1
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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