THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Higgins
TE ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ2.5FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Higgins or John Metchie III this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start John Metchie III
Week 7 ยท Standard
John Metchie III averaged 4.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.7 for Elijah Higgins. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
John Metchie III
WR ยท CARStats & schedule โบ2.0FF projected
โ -0.9 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Elijah Higgins
FF2.5 FP
Boosted Trees2.2 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
John Metchie III
FF2.0 FP
Boosted Trees3.1 FP
Workload3.1 FP
Monte Carlo3.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Higgins
Fortified2.5
ESPN2.3
Sleeper1.0
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Higgins faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.5 fantasy points.
John Metchie III
Fortified2.0
ESPN2.9
Sleeper0.9
FantasyProsโ
John Metchie III faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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