THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Arroyo
TE ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Arroyo or Theo Johnson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Theo Johnson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Theo Johnson averaged 1.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Elijah Arroyo. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Theo Johnson: 5.3 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs KCRESEARCH PICK
Theo Johnson
TE ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Elijah Arroyo
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- IR
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Theo Johnson
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Arroyo
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Arroyo faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%. IR
Theo Johnson
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Theo Johnson faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%. OUT
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