RESEARCH PICK
Drew Sample
TE · CINStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Drew Sample or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Drew Sample
Week 7 · Standard
Drew Sample receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · Standard
at BALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Drew Sample
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Drew Sample
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.3
Sleeper1.5
FantasyPros—
Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyPros—
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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