RESEARCH PICK
Drew Sample
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Drew Sample or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Drew Sample
Week 7 ยท Standard
Drew Sample receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at BALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Drew Sample
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Drew Sample
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.3
Sleeper1.5
FantasyProsโ
Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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