THE ALTERNATIVE
DJ Herman
RB ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.7FF projected
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start DJ Herman or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Ian Thomas: 3.4 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at NYJRESEARCH PICK
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
DJ Herman
FF0.7 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
DJ Herman
Fortified0.7
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
DJ Herman faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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