THE ALTERNATIVE
DeVonta Smith
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Treyton Welch this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Treyton Welch
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Treyton Welch after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Treyton Welch
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees9.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Treyton Welch
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
Treyton Welch
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Treyton Welch faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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