
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Tay Martin this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 13.5 versus 0.0 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Tay Martin
WR ยท DETStats & schedule โบ0.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees9.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Tay Martin
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo-0.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
Tay Martin
Fortified0.1
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.1
FantasyProsโ
Tay Martin faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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