RESEARCH PICK
DeVonta Smith
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Pharaoh Brown this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 13.5 versus 0.7 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Pharaoh Brown
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.5FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees9.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Pharaoh Brown
FF0.5 FP
Boosted Trees1.3 FP
Workload0.6 FP
Monte Carlo0.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
Pharaoh Brown
Fortified0.5
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Pharaoh Brown faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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