RESEARCH PICK
DeVonta Smith
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start DeVonta Smith or KaVontae Turpin this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.3 for KaVontae Turpin. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 13.5 versus 0.1 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus 5%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALTHE ALTERNATIVE
KaVontae Turpin
WR ยท DALStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees9.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
KaVontae Turpin
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.1 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
KaVontae Turpin
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
KaVontae Turpin faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%. OUT
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