Should I start DeVonta Smith or Parker Washington this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Parker Washington

+1.2 projected edge · Standard

Start Parker Washington over DeVonta Smith for Week 9 Standard: 9.2 projected points versus 8.0.

DeVonta Smith: 13.5 FP recent scoring average.
Parker Washington: 4.5 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:54 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Parker Washington

WR · JACStats & schedule

9.2FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

at BAL

Thu 8:15 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHIStats & schedule

8.0FF projected

vs NYG

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Parker Washington

Fortified9.2

ESPN9.3

Sleeper10.0

FantasyPros9.8

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET12.5

Parker Washington faces BAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points.

DeVonta Smith

Fortified8.0

Sleeper8.1

FantasyPros5.5

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET8.6

DeVonta Smith faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. DeVonta Smith is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 22% chance of playing (checked Nov 4, 10:54 AM ET).

Parker Washington projects for 9.2 points, 1.2 more than DeVonta Smith.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:54 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position · WEEK 9 · Standard

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

13.317.9

FF MEAN

1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.5Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 16.5
17.9Expected FP
2
Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 15.4
15.9Expected FP
3
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 13.5Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 13.3
14.1Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.