Should I start Derrick Henry or Josh Downs this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Derrick Henry

+11.7 projected edge · Standard

Start Derrick Henry over Josh Downs for Week 7 Standard: 16.5 projected points versus 4.8.

Derrick Henry: 12.6 FP recent scoring average.
Josh Downs: 3.7 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup reduction against MIN.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Derrick Henry

RB · BALStats & schedule

16.5FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Josh Downs

WR · INDStats & schedule

4.8FF projected

↑ +0.3 vs ESPN

at MIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Derrick Henry

Fortified16.5

ESPN16.7

Sleeper15.3

FantasyPros—

Derrick Henry faces CIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.6 fantasy points.

Josh Downs

Fortified4.8

ESPN4.5

Sleeper5.6

FantasyPros—

Josh Downs faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Derrick Henry projects for 16.5 points in standard scoring, 11.7 more than Josh Downs. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.