THE ALTERNATIVE
Darnell Mooney
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ2.8FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Darnell Mooney or Emmett Johnson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Emmett Johnson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Emmett Johnson: 1.7 versus 1.1 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at HOURESEARCH PICK
Emmett Johnson
RB ยท KCStats & schedule โบ3.1FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Darnell Mooney
FF2.8 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload3.1 FP
Monte Carlo3.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.1 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.7 targets per game.
Emmett Johnson
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees3.1 FP
Workload4.1 FP
Monte Carlo4.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Darnell Mooney
Fortified2.8
ESPN3.6
Sleeper2.0
FantasyProsโ
Darnell Mooney faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Emmett Johnson
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.8
Sleeper2.5
FantasyProsโ
Emmett Johnson faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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