THE ALTERNATIVE
Dare Ogunbowale
RB ยท HOUStats & schedule โบ4.3FF projected
โ -1.1 vs ESPN
vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Dare Ogunbowale or Michael Mayer this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Mayer
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Michael Mayer: 6.0 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs NYGRESEARCH PICK
Michael Mayer
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ4.2FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Dare Ogunbowale
FF4.3 FP
Boosted Trees3.6 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 carries per game.
Michael Mayer
FF4.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.3 FP
Workload5.9 FP
Monte Carlo6.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Dare Ogunbowale
Fortified4.3
ESPN5.4
Sleeper5.3
FantasyProsโ
Dare Ogunbowale faces NYG in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Michael Mayer
Fortified4.2
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.9
FantasyProsโ
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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