RESEARCH PICK
Daniel Bellinger
TE ยท TENStats & schedule โบ1.3FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Daniel Bellinger or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Daniel Bellinger
Week 7 ยท Standard
Daniel Bellinger averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Ian Thomas. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Daniel Bellinger receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs CLETHE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Daniel Bellinger
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Daniel Bellinger
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.5
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Daniel Bellinger faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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