
Should I start Cyrus Allen or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท Standard
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Cyrus Allen. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 3.5 versus 1.4 FP per game. Noah Gray receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-6.25% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.8FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Noah Gray
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ2.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
Cyrus Allen
FF1.8 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.3 FP
Workload3.4 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Cyrus Allen
Fortified1.8
ESPN2.5
Sleeper1.3
FantasyProsโ
Cyrus Allen faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Noah Gray
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.1
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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