
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Kyle Pitts Sr. this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Courtland Sutton
Week 7 ยท Standard
Courtland Sutton receives the better positional matchup adjustment (7.5% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

6.1FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ6.4FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Courtland Sutton
FF6.1 FP
Boosted Trees6.0 FP
Workload4.1 FP
Monte Carlo4.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload5.8 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.0 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Courtland Sutton
Fortified6.1
ESPN6.3
Sleeper6.1
FantasyProsโ
Courtland Sutton faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fortified6.4
ESPN5.9
Sleeper6.0
FantasyProsโ
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
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