
Should I start Connor Heyward or Justin Joly this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Connor Heyward
Week 7 ยท Standard
Connor Heyward receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -5%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.4FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Justin Joly
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Connor Heyward
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees-0.3 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 carries per game.
Justin Joly
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Connor Heyward
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.3
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Connor Heyward faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points.
Justin Joly
Fortified0.1
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Justin Joly faces NYJ in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
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