THE ALTERNATIVE
Colby Parkinson
TE · LARStats & schedule ›4.9FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Colby Parkinson or Tez Johnson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tez Johnson
Week 7 · Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Tez Johnson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Standard
at LVRESEARCH PICK
Tez Johnson
WR · TBStats & schedule ›4.5FF projected
↓ -1.4 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Colby Parkinson
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees5.9 FP
Workload3.2 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.7 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Tez Johnson
FF4.5 FP
Boosted Trees5.7 FP
Workload5.0 FP
Monte Carlo5.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.3 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Colby Parkinson
Fortified4.9
ESPN5.3
Sleeper4.0
FantasyPros—
Colby Parkinson faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Tez Johnson
Fortified4.5
ESPN5.9
Sleeper3.7
FantasyPros—
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
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