Should I start Colbie Young or DeVonta Smith this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

Colbie Young

Middle 80% scoring range: -2.9–4.9 FP

• The saved workload scenario allocates 0.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.

DeVonta Smith

• His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
• Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
• The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
• The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
• OUT
• Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.