
Should I start Charlie Jones or J. Michael Sturdivant this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 ยท Standard
Charlie Jones averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for J. Michael Sturdivant. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Charlie Jones: 1.5 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.8FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

J. Michael Sturdivant
WR ยท GBStats & schedule โบ0.3FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
J. Michael Sturdivant
FF0.3 FP
Boosted Trees0.5 FP
Workload0.3 FP
Monte Carlo0.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
J. Michael Sturdivant
Fortified0.3
ESPN0.4
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
J. Michael Sturdivant faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
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