Should I start Charlie Jones or Deion Burks this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Charlie Jones

Week 7 · Standard

Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus -3.75%).

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:22 AM ET · Standard

RESEARCH PICK

Charlie Jones

WR · NYGStats & schedule

0.8FF projected

↓ -0.4 vs ESPN

at HOU

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Deion Burks

WR · INDStats & schedule

0.4FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

at MIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Charlie Jones

FF0.8 FP

Boosted Trees1.1 FP

Workload1.1 FP

Monte Carlo1.1 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -2.1–5.7 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.

Deion Burks

FF0.4 FP

Boosted Trees-0.1 FP

Workload0.8 FP

Monte Carlo0.8 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -2.4–5.3 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 1.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Charlie Jones

Fortified0.8

ESPN1.2

Sleeper0.3

FantasyPros—

Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Deion Burks

Fortified0.4

ESPN0.0

Sleeper0.7

FantasyPros—

Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Charlie Jones projects for 0.8 points in standard scoring, 0.4 more than Deion Burks. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:22 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.