RESEARCH PICK
Charlie Jones
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ0.8FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Jones or Charlie Woerner this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Charlie Jones: 1.5 versus 0.4 FP per game. Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at HOUTHE ALTERNATIVE
Charlie Woerner
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ0.4FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Charlie Woerner
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.6 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Charlie Woerner
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.5
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Woerner faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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