THE ALTERNATIVE
Cade Stover
TE · HOUStats & schedule ›0.4FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Cade Stover or DeVonta Smith this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 · Standard
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Cade Stover. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 13.5 versus 0.8 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs NYGRESEARCH PICK
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHIStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Cade Stover
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees0.7 FP
Workload— FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees9.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Cade Stover
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.3
Sleeper0.6
FantasyPros—
Cade Stover faces NYG in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points.
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
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