RESEARCH PICK
Cade Otton
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ4.2FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Cade Otton or Darren Waller this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Cade Otton
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Cade Otton: 2.2 versus 1.8 FP per game. Cade Otton receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at CARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Darren Waller
TE ยท CARStats & schedule โบ3.8FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Cade Otton
FF4.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.7 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carlo5.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Darren Waller
FF3.8 FP
Boosted Trees4.1 FP
Workload3.9 FP
Monte Carlo3.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Cade Otton
Fortified4.2
ESPN4.2
Sleeper4.6
FantasyProsโ
Cade Otton faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Darren Waller
Fortified3.8
ESPN3.6
Sleeper4.9
FantasyProsโ
Darren Waller faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points.
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