THE ALTERNATIVE
Bryce Lance
WR ยท NOStats & schedule โบ2.5FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Bryce Lance or Darnell Mooney this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Darnell Mooney
Week 7 ยท Standard
Darnell Mooney receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs PITRESEARCH PICK
Darnell Mooney
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ2.8FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Bryce Lance
FF2.5 FP
Boosted Trees3.4 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Darnell Mooney
FF2.8 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload3.1 FP
Monte Carlo3.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.1 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Bryce Lance
Fortified2.5
ESPN3.3
Sleeper1.6
FantasyProsโ
Bryce Lance faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
Darnell Mooney
Fortified2.8
ESPN3.6
Sleeper2.0
FantasyProsโ
Darnell Mooney faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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