
Should I start Blake Corum or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Blake Corum
+2.5 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Blake Corum over Xavier Worthy for Week 9 Standard: 8.3 projected points versus 5.8.
- Blake Corum: 13.8 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup reduction against WAS.
- Xavier Worthy: 3.2 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Xavier Worthy
WR ยท KCStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Blake Corum
Blake Corum faces WAS in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 13.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy faces NYJ in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Blake Corum and Xavier Worthy?
Blake Corum holds a 2.5 FP projected edge over Xavier Worthy. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees lean toward Blake Corum, while Sleeper leans toward Xavier Worthy. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Blake Corum
Blake Corum has a 8.3 FP forecast in Standard at WAS. His recorded recent scoring average is 13.8 FP, putting this forecast 5.5 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy has a 5.8 FP forecast in Standard against NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 3.2 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Blake Corum | Xavier Worthy | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.6 FP | 6.1 FP | Blake Corum +2.5 |
| Sleeper | 6.5 FP | 6.8 FP | Xavier Worthy +0.2 |
| FantasyPros | 7.7 FP | 6.4 FP | Blake Corum +1.3 |
| Boosted Trees | 6.9 FP | 5.5 FP | Blake Corum +1.4 |
Before the first kickoff. Blake Corum: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Xavier Worthy: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Standard
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 21.322.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.118.8Expected FP - 3
Jonathan TaylorRB ยท IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 16.518.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Blake Corum8.3projected FP
Braelon Allen9.2projected FP
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Zach Charbonnet8.2projected FP
Blake Corum8.3projected FP
David Montgomery8.5projected FP
Blake Corum8.3projected FP
Breece Hall8.1projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs22.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FP
Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FP
Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FP
Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FP
Christian McCaffrey17.9projected FP
Christian McCaffrey17.9projected FP
Bijan Robinson16.5projected FP
Bijan Robinson16.5projected FP
Javonte Williams16.0projected FP
Javonte Williams16.0projected FP
James Cook III14.9projected FP
Dalton Kincaid
Xavier Worthy
Ladd McConkey