THE ALTERNATIVE
Ashton Jeanty
RB ยท LVStats & schedule โบ13.1FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 12.9 versus 10.7 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ13.5FF projected
โ +1.0 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Ashton Jeanty
FF13.1 FP
Boosted Trees12.1 FP
Workload12.7 FP
Monte Carlo14.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
FF13.5 FP
Boosted Trees14.2 FP
Workload13.2 FP
Monte Carlo13.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.9 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 10.3 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Jeanty
Fortified13.1
ESPN13.3
Sleeper12.2
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Jeanty faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.7 fantasy points.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Fortified13.5
ESPN12.5
Sleeper16.8
FantasyProsโ
Jaxon Smith-Njigba faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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