THE ALTERNATIVE
Ashton Dulin
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Dulin or Brandon Smith this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Brandon Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
Brandon Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Brandon Smith
WR ยท PITStats & schedule โบ1.3FF projected
โ -1.2 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Ashton Dulin
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.9 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Brandon Smith
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees2.8 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 0.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Dulin
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.1
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Dulin faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Brandon Smith
Fortified1.3
ESPN2.5
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Brandon Smith faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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