RESEARCH PICK
AJ Dillon
RB · CARStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Tyquan Thornton this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start AJ Dillon
Week 7 · Standard
The available paired forecasts favor AJ Dillon after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tyquan Thornton
WR · KCStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload2.4 FP
Monte Carlo2.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- INACTIVE
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Tyquan Thornton
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 23.1 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- INJURY_RESERVE
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.7 targets per game.
AJ Dillon
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. INACTIVE
Tyquan Thornton
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Tyquan Thornton faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 23.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%. INJURY_RESERVE
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