Should I start AJ Dillon or Jonnu Smith this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: AJ Dillon

+0.6 projected edge · Standard

Start AJ Dillon over Jonnu Smith for Week 7 Standard: 2.0 projected points versus 1.4.

AJ Dillon: 0.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup reduction against TB.
Jonnu Smith: 0.6 FP recent scoring average; 10% matchup lift against DET.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 6:18 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

AJ Dillon

RB · CARStats & schedule

2.0FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jonnu Smith

TE · GBStats & schedule

1.4FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

at DET

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Why this pick?

AJ Dillon

Fortified2.0

ESPN2.6

Sleeper1.9

FantasyPros—

AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Jonnu Smith

Fortified1.4

ESPN1.1

Sleeper1.4

FantasyPros—

Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.

AJ Dillon projects for 2.0 points in standard scoring, 0.6 more than Jonnu Smith. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 6:18 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.