Should I start AJ Dillon or Elijah Moore this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

AJ Dillon

Middle 80% scoring range: -0.4–6.2 FP

• His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
• Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
• The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
• The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.

Elijah Moore

• Recent scoring average: 0.1 FP.
• The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
• The saved workload scenario allocates 2.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
• Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.